How players read trends

Famous last words: “Black is overdue”

There are two types of games in the casino world: games with and without a perceived trend. Understanding how players interpret these trends tells us about how players think about risk, excitement, and biases. Analyzing and extracting these insights takes equal parts technical skills and an understanding of player psychology.

The chart below shows how often a player bets with the trend (we call agreement) and, given that trend, does she then increase her wager. This chart is the game of Baccarat where B = Banker and P = Player so BBBB is four bankers in a row. These results are from an online table-operator.

Predictive value of different trends
Predictive value of different trends

Try it yourself. We have collected over 300m online bet transactions and we are proving a sample of those patrons below.

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